Event-driven edge researchMarket data live

Price Threshold Analysis

Find every stock that moved beyond your threshold in one session, then judge it against two years of that stock's own history of similar shocks.

Latest sessionAwaiting session data
Threshold breachesAvg |move| 0.00%
Up movesgapping / rallying
Down movesbreaking down
RVOL ≥ 1.5×participation confirmed
Threshold TapeEvery stock breaching the selected 1-day move.
Close-to-close2-year base rates · latest session
Sign in to run the scannerThe threshold tape is part of the JustTicks research desk
How the edge study worksThe exact sequence this tool enforces
Educational analytics · define your own position size
01

Define the event

Pick the 1-day close-to-close move that matters — a 5% shock, a 10% gap. That is the threshold the engine hunts for.

02

Scan the tape

The latest (or any historical) session is scanned for stocks breaching that threshold, with sector, volume and relative-volume context.

03

Read the base rates

Each row carries two years of the same stock's similar events: next-day up/down odds and follow-through rate.

04

Drill into the ledger

Click a symbol to open the full event ledger — every breach date, its candle anatomy, and 1D/5D/10D/20D forward returns.

Scanner methodology

What Price Threshold Analysis is designed to find

This is an event study engine for single-session dislocations. It separates the event (the threshold breach) from the statistics (what that same stock did after comparable events over the last two years), so a 6% spike is never judged in isolation. Base rates are direction-aware, sample counts sit next to every probability, and the per-stock ledger exposes each underlying event with forward returns at 1, 5, 10 and 20 sessions.

1–20% thresholdsNSE Cash + F&O2-year base ratesColumnar feed

Threshold definition

A breach is a close-to-close move: ((Today's Close − Previous Close) / Previous Close) × 100. The same formula is recomputed from raw daily rows, so the scanner and the detail ledger can never disagree on which days qualify.

Direction handling

Up mode requires a move ≥ +threshold, Down mode requires ≤ −threshold, and Both ranks by absolute magnitude. Base-rate columns are direction-aware: an up-breach row carries that stock's history of up-breach days only.

Base-rate statistics

Next-Day Up/Down % and Continuation % are computed over up to two years of comparable threshold events per symbol. Sample sizes are shown next to every probability so thin histories are never mistaken for edges.

Risk framework

Relative volume separates news-driven shocks from drift. The detail page adds expected next-day and next-week closes derived from the historical average, plus full distribution and payoff statistics.

How to read the tableExecution-focused meaning of every column

Prioritize breaches with real participation, a close near the extreme of its range, and base rates computed from enough history to matter.

1-Day MoveSigned close-to-close percentage with a magnitude bar; the column sorts by absolute move.
Close / ChgLatest close with the absolute rupee change under it.
Day RangeLow—high rail with the open→close body and a close marker, so you see where the close landed inside the range.
Rel VolVolume against the symbol's own trailing baseline. 2×+ marks institutional participation.
Next-Day Up/DownDirection-aware historical probability the next session closed up or down, with sample counts.
ContinuationShare of past events where the next session continued in the breach direction. Green ≥ 60%, red ≤ 40%.

Market noteBase rates describe history, not guarantees. A 70% next-day-up history can still gap against you; combine it with market context, liquidity and your own risk budget before acting on any breach.

Price threshold analysis

Price Threshold Analysis finds stocks whose session move crosses a selected percentage threshold and compares similar historical events. Forward-return statistics help examine how that specific definition behaved in the available sample.

Review event counts, lookback, direction and forward horizon before interpreting a continuation or reversal percentage. Historical frequencies are sample estimates, not probabilities guaranteed for the next trade. Overlapping events, transaction costs, regime changes and a small sample can materially affect the practical result.

What is price threshold analysis?

It is an event study: define a 1-day percentage move (say 5%), find every stock that breached it, then measure what happened after similar breaches in that stock's own history — next-day up/down odds and 1D/5D/10D/20D forward returns.

How is the move calculated?

Move% = ((Today's Close − Previous Close) / Previous Close) × 100, recomputed from raw daily rows so the scanner and the per-stock ledger always agree on which sessions qualify.

What does Continuation % mean?

Of all comparable threshold events in the past two years, the share where the next session continued in the same direction as the breach. Values above 60% are highlighted green; below 40% red. Always read it with the sample count shown beside it.

Related JustTicks tools: Volatility Screener, VWAP Breakout Screener

Price Threshold Analysis by instrument

Choose a supported instrument to open its price threshold analysis page.

Stock Price Threshold Analysis (A–Z, 210 F&O symbols)

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